One more week until the FedEx Cup Playoffs! Before we get into that however, the boys are in North Carolina once again for the Wyndham Championship. Some players need points to make the playoffs, some are jockeying for better position. It’s time to make one final push.
Field
Rickie Fowler, one of the most popular players on the PGA Tour, is fighting to earn a spot in the field for the Northern Trust. He has never failed to make the playoffs, and is sitting at 130th in the FedEx Cup standings. His last start came at the 3M, where he tied for 34th.
Patrick Reed won this tournament back in 2013 over a young Jordan Spieth. He hasn’t had his best stuff of late, with his last Top 20 finish coming at the US Open. Last year, he captured a Top 10.
Other big names in the field include Webb Simpson, Hideki Matsuyama, Will Zalatoris, Tommy Fleetwood, Gary Woodland, and Bubba Watson.
Course
Sedgefield Country Club
Par 70
7,131 yards
Donald Ross design
Weather
Key Stats
This course presents small, angulating greens – this will put a premium on ball-striking. Love guys who are performing well tee-to-green right now, and hopefully we can catch a hot putter.
The course is on the shorter side, so bombing it all over the place isn’t gonna be overly important. I mean, just look at the last two winners of this tournament; Webb and Si Woo – not exactly the longest pair.
Data Golf Information
Course Fit: 1. TPC Twin Cities (Home of the 3M), 2. Sherwood CC, 3. TPC River Highlands (Home of the Travelers Championship)
Trending (of the players in the field): 1. Louis Oosthuizen (Last 3 starts; T3, T2, T17), 2. Seamus Power (T8, T8, 1), 3. Hideki Matsuyama (WD, T4 (Olympics), T2)
% Chance to Win (Baseline, Course History and Fit): 1. Webb Simpson (7.7%), 2. Hideki Matsuyama (6%), 3. Louis Oosthuizen (5.6%)
Betting Odds
Players to watch this week…
To put it bluntly, we got fucked in the betting department last week. Several bets 1 shot from hitting. You hate to see it. So let’s bounce back.
We’re gonna start with the man we had on the card a few weeks ago, but he WD due to a family emergence. Hank Lebioda continues to play good golf.
His last 4 starts: T5, T4, T8, WD (He made the cut before WD’ing). Over that same span, Hank has hit fairways at a 67.42% clip.
Over his last 24 rounds, Lebioda is 34th in SG: T2G, while also being inside the Top 10 in SG: Putting.
He’s made the start at this event the last 2 seasons, making the cut both times.
+7000 to win.
He played well in Memphis, and I think this golf course could fit Will Zalatoris perfectly.
Last week, Will was 13th in SG: T2G, 14th in SG: Approach, and 9th in SG: Putting. That putting number is something that surprised me, as he’s 137th on Tour this season in that category.
The greens around this track are small, which puts an emphasis on your approach play. Will Zalatoris should eat this place up.
If anyone has motivation to win this week, it’s Willy Z. He needs a W to get into the FedEx Cup playoffs.
+2700 to win.
Brian Harmon wasn’t great in Memphis, but he returns to a course this week where he’s seen some success.
In 2019, Harmon finished T6 at the Wyndham. In 2020, he placed T27.
In his last 6 starts, Brian has 4 Top 20s, and 2 Top 10s.
I went over all his finishes this year, and a few popped out at me. A T5 at the Travelers, and a T13 at the RBC Heritage. Both short golf course, both Top 15s. Love that.
+2900 to win.
Bets for the Wyndham Championship
Will Zalatoris – Top 20 (+150, Fanduel)
Hank Lebioda – Top 40 (+110, DraftKings): I was gonna get him for a Top 30, but DK and FD don’t have Top 30 bets open, I have no idea why.
Kevin Kisner – Top 40 (-110, DraftKings)
Rickie Fowler – Top 40 (-110, DraftKings)
Mito Pereira – Top 40 (+110, DraftKings)
Webb Simpson – Top 10 (+185, Fanduel)
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